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Avi Rosenthal

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Top Stories by Avi Rosenthal

Many years ago in 1995 or 1996 the mainstream IT community view was that Mainframes are doomed and will be replaced by cheaper and more flexible Client/Server technology. Xephon, published a white paper titled: Mainframe and the Dinosaurus Myth. The thesis presented in this paper was that Mainframe is cheaper than Client/Server due to high maintenance costs of distributed Client/Server. The term maintenance costs includes higher support costs for Client/Server. After few years of experiencing Client/Server limitations Xephon unpopular theory was supported, at least as far as large enterprises were concerned. More than decade after the Dinosaurus myth, one surprising finding in STKI Israeli Market Survey was related to Mainframe. According to the survey 40% of Israeli IT budgets are allocated to Mainframes. If you search for Mainframe in the conference presentation ... (more)

Will HP Survive until 2018? – HP's EDS acquisition First Take

In a previous post I asked the same question about Microsoft and predicted that the probability that at least three of the four leading SOA Echo Systems vendors, including Microsoft, will survive in the next ten years is high. I planed additional posts on other potential Long Term survival candidates. HP's intend to acquire EDS changed my plan, so this post topic is HP's EDS acquisition. I would have predicted before the intended acquisition, that the probability that HP will survive until 2018 is high due to its dominance of the high volume Printers market and its position in oth... (more)

Will Sun Microsystems Survive until 2018?

Normal 0 false false false MicrosoftInternetExplorer4 st1\:*{behavior:url(#ieooui) } /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"טבלה רגילה"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language:#0400; mso-fareast-language:#0400; mso-bidi-language:#0400;} I will start my post by quoting Garner Group's Magic Quadrant for Application In... (more)

Ulitzer and Leading Cloud Computing Experts

I published a link to my post "Choosing a SOA Consultant" in Ulitzer. Ulitzer is a "new media" site. The site provides a portal like page for every author. You can look at my page as an example. Each article's page includes related articles. For example "Choosing a SOA Consultant" page includes the article Anatomy of a Cloud Consultant - What Defines A "Cloud Expert?, written by Reuven Cohen, a leading Cloud Computing expert. The interesting article demonstrates deep understanding of Cloud Computing and I do agree with most of the ideas expressed in it. However, I have different... (more)

Why IBM Is Going to Acquire Unica

Unlike the other three leading Eco Systems vendors Microsoft, Oracleand SAP, IBM is not a player in the applications market. Its absence from this market is based on strategy which does not include ERP,CRM and other applications as one of its target markets. So why is IBM going to acquire a small CRM vendor named Unica? In order to answer this question I am going to describe the first time the name Unica was mentioned to me. It was a strategic CRM consulting project I was participating in. The large customer was using Siebel. I joined a CRM expert with vast knowledge and experie... (more)